A new poll shows half of Americans approve Trump’s stance on transgender issues, but support varies, especially on youth healthcare and bathroom policies.
Interviews for this survey were conducted between May 1 through May 5, 2025, with adults aged 18 and over representing the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Panel members were randomly drawn from AmeriSpeak, and 1,175 completed the survey—1,101 via the web and 74 by telephone.
Panel members were invited by email or by phone from an NORC telephone interviewer. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish, depending on respondent preference. Respondents were offered a small monetary incentive for completing the survey.
The final stage completion rate is 13.7 percent, the weighted household panel response rate is 26.1 percent, and the weighted household panel retention rate is 77.8 percent, for a cumulative response rate of 2.8 percent.
The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect. The margin of sampling error may be higher for subgroups. For example, the margin of sampling error is 6.1 percentage points for Democrats and 6.3 percentage points for Republicans and 9.8 percentage points for independents. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other survey.
The number, whatever it is, is still too high but I doubt the claim of “half of adults over 18” is accurate.
Surveys like these do often have implicit bias, because only a small portion of people would be willing to take them when offered. For instance, phone surveys dramatically overrepresent Republicans because almost all the people who choose to complete them are quite old. Additionally, people with more extreme views are more likely to complete political surveys than people with moderate views, especially those who aren’t very interested in politics. These are all biases that are difficult to account for.
The number, whatever it is, is still too high but I doubt the claim of “half of adults over 18” is accurate.
We all know the types willing to complete phone surveys … this poll is a joke.
6-10% sampling error, taboot? All the sudden, it could be “majority of Americans support trans people” as the headline.
Surveys like these do often have implicit bias, because only a small portion of people would be willing to take them when offered. For instance, phone surveys dramatically overrepresent Republicans because almost all the people who choose to complete them are quite old. Additionally, people with more extreme views are more likely to complete political surveys than people with moderate views, especially those who aren’t very interested in politics. These are all biases that are difficult to account for.