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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • We spent decades treating computers like fancy calculators. They have more utility than that, and we are currently trying to find a more valuable way to use that utility.

    In that process, there will be a time where the responses you get will need to be independently verified. As the technology matures, it will get more and more accurate and useful. If we could just skip past the development part and get to the fully engineered solution, we would… but that’s not really how anything new ever comes into being.

    As for the current state of the technology, you can get a ton of useful information out of LLMs right now by asking them to give you a list of options you wouldn’t have thought of, general outlines of a course of action, places or topics to research to find a correct answer… etc. However, if you expect the current iteration of the technology to do everything for you without error and without verifying the output, you are going to have a bad time.








  • Right. This is how it works. The marketplace sustained a value for watching entertainment at home (cable tv). When pricing outstretched customer desire to use the product, the business changed to start selling the service connection in addition to advertising to create another revenue stream. It got so ubiquitous that people don’t even remember that OTA tv was the majority solution for decades and was completely funded by ads. Eventually, prices stabilize and the business can only make more money by acquiring a larger share of the market or innovating something new. They’ll always try to increase that price, but it is balanced by how many customers choose to give up the service.

    When streaming platforms disrupted that business model, they were cheap because they had to convince the marketplace to change. As adoption got more prolific, pricing changes to recoup early losses… then to increase value to become more attractive to the customer and gain more market share… then to increase profits.

    We are still at the point you can cancel the service and jump around on a monthly basis, but the days of 12 month contracts are right around the corner… and they’re coming fast.